Saturday, August 15, 2026 edition · Market data through Aug 14

The bond market moves first.

Treasury yields do not wait for consensus. Explore the US Treasury yield curve, then place the move inside the inflation, labour and credit picture with advanced access.

Key US macroeconomic data

Labor

7 series

Unemployment rate

Monthly UNRATE

4.1%Jul 2026 · -10 bp

Nonfarm payrolls

Monthly PAYEMS

158.9MJul 2026 · -23k

Labor force participation

Monthly CIVPART

61.4%Jul 2026 · -10 bp

Average hourly earnings

Monthly CES0500000003

$37.62Jul 2026 · +$0.02

Manufacturing hours

Monthly AWHMAN

41.7Jul 2026 · 0 hrs

Job openings

Monthly JTSJOL

7.4MJun 2026 · -178k

Initial jobless claims

Weekly ICSA

209kAug 8 · +9k

Consumer

5 series

Personal income

Monthly PI

$27.0TJun 2026 · +$54.9B

Disposable income

Monthly DSPI

$23.7TJun 2026 · +$48.3B

Consumer spending

Monthly PCE

$22.2TJun 2026 · +$65.2B

Real consumer spending

Monthly PCEC96

$16.9TJun 2026 · +$68B

Saving rate

Monthly PSAVERT

2.7%Jun 2026 · -10 bp

Inflation

4 series

CPI (headline)

Monthly CPIAUCSL

332.81Jul 2026 · +0.25

CPI (core)

Monthly CPILFESL

336.79Jul 2026 · +0.72

PCE price index

Monthly PCEPI

131.39Jun 2026 · -0.14

Core PCE

Monthly PCEPILFE

130.27Jun 2026 · +0.17

Housing

4 series

Single-family permits

Monthly PERMIT1

0.87MJun 2026 · -21k

Single-family starts

Monthly HOUST1F

0.90MJun 2026 · -2k

New home sales

Monthly HSN1F

0.63MJun 2026 · +10k

Home prices

Monthly CSUSHPINSA

335.1May 2026 · +2.12

Business

3 series

Core capex orders

Monthly NEWORDER

$5.1TJun 2026 · +$34B

Durables ex-transport

Monthly ADXTNO

$18.6TJun 2026 · +$174B

Inventory-sales ratio

Monthly ISRATIO

1.30Jun 2026 · +0.02

Production

4 series

Industrial production

Monthly INDPRO

102.64Jun 2026 · +0.08

Manufacturing output

Monthly IPMAN

98.7Jun 2026 · +0

Capacity utilization

Monthly TCU

76.1%Jun 2026 · -1 bp

Factory utilization

Monthly CUMFNS

75.7%Jun 2026 · -8 bp

Energy

4 series

Regular gasoline

Monthly GASREGM

$3.93Jul 2026 · -$0.12

Henry Hub gas

Monthly MHHNGSP

$2.89Jul 2026 · -$0.26

WTI crude oil

Monthly MCOILWTICO

$80.46Jul 2026 · -$4.35

Electricity price

Monthly APU000072610

$0.197Jul 2026 · -$0

Rates & Credit

6 series

3-month Treasury yield

Daily DGS3MO

3.86%Aug 14 · -1 bp

2-year Treasury yield

Daily DGS2

4.17%Aug 14 · +2 bp

5-year Treasury yield

Daily DGS5

4.36%Aug 14 · +4 bp

10-year Treasury yield

Daily DGS10

4.68%Aug 14 · +5 bp

30-year Treasury yield

Daily DGS30

5.25%Aug 14 · +4 bp

10y-3m yield curve

Daily T10Y3M

82 bpAug 14 · +6 bp

Policy & Funding

3 series

10Y term premium

Monthly ACMTP10Y

0.84%Jul 2026 · +33 bp

Treasury cash balance

Monthly TGACLOSE

$870.1BAug 2026 · -$6.5B

Coupon bid-cover

Monthly AUCTBTC

2.71Aug 2026 · +0.14

Credit Stress

3 series

Investment-grade OAS

Daily BAMLC0A0CM

0.79%Aug 13 · 0 bp

High-yield OAS

Daily BAMLH0A0HYM2

2.71%Aug 13 · 0 bp

Financial stress index

Weekly STLFSI4

-0.77Aug 7 · -0.27